Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.383079 0.418847 0.457007 0.500839 0.549906 0.603268 0.665860
2025-12-21 0.314159 0.362250 0.417007 0.484338 0.565406 0.660504 0.781432
2025-12-28 0.284795 0.340543 0.406934 0.492592 0.601285 0.736103 0.918338
2026-01-04 0.262769 0.323367 0.398167 0.498504 0.631444 0.804230 1.050305
2026-01-11 0.244361 0.308041 0.389055 0.501400 0.655922 0.865183 1.177450
2026-01-18 0.228806 0.294534 0.380389 0.503000 0.677381 0.922500 1.304360
2026-01-25 0.216664 0.284249 0.374680 0.507367 0.702050 0.985484 1.445581
2026-02-01 0.201432 0.268463 0.359971 0.497330 0.704274 1.014780 1.537212
2026-02-08 0.191978 0.259902 0.354505 0.499799 0.724657 1.072639 1.680325
2026-02-15 0.181761 0.249495 0.345519 0.496041 0.734690 1.114544 1.801004
2026-02-22 0.174195 0.242358 0.340685 0.497961 0.753390 1.171601 1.954175
2026-03-01 0.165292 0.232682 0.331378 0.492064 0.758641 1.206238 2.070543
2026-03-08 0.156918 0.223442 0.322328 0.486162 0.763774 1.241825 2.194833
2026-03-15 0.146819 0.211071 0.307773 0.470362 0.750841 1.244350 2.255569
2026-03-22 0.143061 0.208177 0.307743 0.478325 0.779462 1.324362 2.481908
2026-03-29 0.139079 0.204683 0.306490 0.484028 0.804375 1.399776 2.709585
2026-04-05 0.134772 0.200424 0.303710 0.486822 0.824074 1.466981 2.929412
2026-04-12 0.130515 0.196011 0.300392 0.488365 0.841431 1.531134 3.152039
2026-04-19 0.127058 0.192702 0.298684 0.492578 0.864082 1.608171 3.416914
2026-04-26 0.121251 0.185267 0.289638 0.482896 0.858872 1.626582 3.542506
2026-05-03 0.117978 0.181870 0.287272 0.485278 0.877653 1.697880 3.812171
2026-05-10 0.113866 0.176877 0.281889 0.481653 0.883935 1.742424 4.019929
2026-05-17 0.110915 0.173709 0.279506 0.483504 0.901545 1.814008 4.312746